Proposal

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Export Diversification Accelerator

AI TrackEnactedTradecontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
exports_to_us
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: trade

Effects: 7 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 11.1888

Constitutional basis: Federal trade and commerce (s.91(2))

Fiscal cost estimate: 2.5

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: trade

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$5.47B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$4.89B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • +$0.31B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • +$0.15B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via employment_rate
  • +$0.13B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via employment_rate

Causal effects: 7 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 11.189

Variable changes

  • exports_to_us: {"new": 455.0, "old": 420.42}
  • energy_exports_to_us: {"new": 135.0, "old": 114.6}

Proposed policy move

Targets exports_to_us.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:exports_to_us
  • RIPPLE:energy_exports_to_us