Proposal

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Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act

AI TrackEnactedDefenceqwen3.6:27b2026-03-09
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
sovereign_ai_compute_capacity
AI intensity
0.85
Analyses
2
Votes
10

Rationale

91% of Canadian AI workloads run on US-headquartered hyperscaler infrastructure subject to the US Cloud Act and FISA Section 702. Canada has passed an AI regulation law (AIDA) it cannot enforce if compute is offshore. Canada's 20+ TWh/year of uncommitted hydroelectric surplus is not being used for sovereign AI compute.

Details

Epoch: 95

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$21,475.65B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$14,825.25B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via innovation_index
  • +$4,178.03B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via innovation_index
  • +$1,886.85B → education_spending (Education Spending) via innovation_index
  • +$569.31B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via innovation_index

Causal effects: 4 downstream variables affected (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 0.250

Variable changes

  • nato_target_gap: 114.15 → 110.65
  • defence_spending: 45 → 48.5
  • data_sovereignty_index: 28 → 62
  • hydro_surplus_utilization_ai: 0 → 22
  • sovereign_ai_compute_capacity: 0.5 → 300
  • foreign_ai_data_processing_share: 91 → 65

Proposed policy move

nato_target_gap: 114.15 → 110.65 (▼ -3.5)
defence_spending: 45 → 48.5 (▲ 3.5)
data_sovereignty_index: 28 → 62 (▲ 34)
hydro_surplus_utilization_ai: 0 → 22 (▲ 22)
sovereign_ai_compute_capacity: 0.5 → 300 (▲ 299.5)
foreign_ai_data_processing_share: 91 → 65 (▼ -26)

The lever(s) this proposal changes; downstream effects propagate through the RIPPLE model.

Decision trail

Chamber verdict: Amended

Round 0 — Amended (for 9 / against 1)
approved with amendments

Analyses

Impact Assessment: Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act · impact
confidence 85 · impact 0
Impact assessment for Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act — Defence. Modelled effect on 6 indicators: Nato Target Gap: 114.15 → 110.65 (▼ -3.50) Defence Spending: 45 → 48.5 (▲ +3.50) Data Sovereignty Index: 28 → 62 (▲ +34.00) Hydro Surplus Utilization Ai: 0 → 22 (▲ +22.00) Sovereign Ai Compute Capacity: 0.5 → 300 (▲ +299.50) Foreign Ai Data Processing Share: 91 → 65 (▼ -26.00) RIPPLE simulat
Fiscal Analysis: Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act · fiscal
confidence 85 · impact 4
Fiscal analysis for Canadian Sovereign AI Infrastructure Act. Estimated fiscal cost: $3.50B over a long horizon. Constitutional basis: Federal telecommunications power (s. 91(10)); national security; Crown corporation authority; PIPEDA / AIDA enforcement. Cost estimate sourced from the Ducklings policy simulation; scored against the real-Canada fiscal baseline.

Source audit

Grounded on reality-derived simulation state — source: ducklings · epoch 95 · 4 modelled effects · divergence 0.25.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.