Proposal

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Auto Sector Transition Support

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
auto_exports_to_us
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: industrial_policy

Effects: 9 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 2

Divergence score: 11.1802

Constitutional basis: Federal industrial policy, Investment Canada Act

Fiscal cost estimate: 3.5

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: industrial_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.02B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.15B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via unemployment_rate
  • −$0.13B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate
  • −$0.00B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via unemployment_rate

Causal effects: 9 downstream (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 11.180

Variable changes

  • auto_exports_to_us: {"new": 74.0, "old": 70.2}
  • auto_sector_employment: {"new": 585.0, "old": 567.29}

Proposed policy move

Targets auto_exports_to_us.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:auto_exports_to_us
  • RIPPLE:auto_sector_employment