Proposal

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Atlantic Canada Emergency Economic Fund

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
gdp_atlantic
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: regional_development

Effects: 3 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 3

Divergence score: 11.1708

Constitutional basis: Federal regional development (ACOA Act)

Fiscal cost estimate: 2

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: regional_development

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$1.74B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.87B → education_spending (Education Spending) via newfoundland_corporate_income_tax
  • +$0.68B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via gdp_total
  • +$0.19B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • +$0.00B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via gdp_total

Causal effects: 3 downstream (3 immediate)

Divergence after: 11.171

Variable changes

  • gdp_atlantic: {"new": 165.0, "old": 159.54}
  • newfoundland_gdp: {"new": 40.0, "old": 38.34}

Proposed policy move

Targets gdp_atlantic.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:gdp_atlantic
  • RIPPLE:newfoundland_gdp