Proposal

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GDP Recovery: Consumer Confidence Package

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
gdp_growth
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: fiscal_policy

Effects: 58 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 46

Divergence score: 10.5672

Constitutional basis: Federal spending power, EI Act amendments

Fiscal cost estimate: 8

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: fiscal_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $8.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$53,159.68B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$35,521.20B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • +$13,084.24B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • +$6,062.52B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via federal_revenues
  • +$5,857.41B → quebec_program_spending (Quebec Total Program Spending) via quebec_gdp

Causal effects: 58 downstream (46 immediate)

Divergence after: 10.567

Variable changes

  • gdp_growth: {"new": 1.2, "old": 0.004}
  • consumer_spending: {"new": 1335.0, "old": 1323.26}

Proposed policy move

Targets gdp_growth.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:gdp_growth
  • RIPPLE:consumer_spending