Proposal

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Softwood Lumber & Agriculture Shield

AI TrackEnactedTradecontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
softwood_lumber_exports
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: trade

Effects: 7 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 2

Divergence score: 10.5611

Constitutional basis: Federal trade policy, Canadian Dairy Commission Act

Fiscal cost estimate: 1.5

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: trade

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.00B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Causal effects: 7 downstream (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 10.561

Variable changes

  • softwood_lumber_exports: {"new": 7.0, "old": 6.75}
  • agricultural_exports_to_us: {"new": 39.5, "old": 37.69}

Proposed policy move

Targets softwood_lumber_exports.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:softwood_lumber_exports
  • RIPPLE:agricultural_exports_to_us