Proposal

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Nominal GDP Stabilization via Investment

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-32026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
nominal_gdp
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 3)

Domain: economic

Effects: 5 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 2

Divergence score: 10.5583

Constitutional basis: Federal taxation powers (s.91(3)), Income Tax Act

Fiscal cost estimate: 6

Details

Epoch: 3

Domain: economic

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $6.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$16.09B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$13.80B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via boc_overnight_rate
  • −$1.63B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via federal_revenue
  • +$1.04B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via business_investment
  • +$0.88B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via federal_revenues

Causal effects: 5 downstream (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 10.558

Variable changes

  • nominal_gdp: {"new": 3050.0, "old": 2892.28}
  • business_investment: {"new": 300.0, "old": 284.16}

Proposed policy move

Targets nominal_gdp.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:nominal_gdp
  • RIPPLE:business_investment