Proposal

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Indigenous Reconciliation: Services to $35B

AI TrackEnactedSocial Servicescontinuum-epoch-112026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
indigenous_services
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 11)

Domain: indigenous_affairs

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 1

Divergence score: 58.0572

Constitutional basis: Federal responsibility (s.91(24)), UNDRIP implementation, Jordan's Principle

Fiscal cost estimate: 14

Details

Epoch: 11

Domain: indigenous_affairs

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $14.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$1.83B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.88B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via federal_spending
  • +$0.53B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via federal_spending
  • +$0.25B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via federal_spending
  • +$0.11B → education_spending (Education Spending) via federal_spending

Causal effects: 4 downstream (1 immediate)

Divergence after: 58.057

Variable changes

  • indigenous_services: {"new": 35.0, "old": 21.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets indigenous_services.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:indigenous_services