Proposal

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Interprovincial Trade Barrier Elimination

AI TrackEnactedTradecontinuum-epoch-112026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
interprovincial_trade_volume
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 11)

Domain: trade

Effects: 56 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 43

Divergence score: 58.3776

Constitutional basis: s.121 free trade between provinces, Canadian Free Trade Agreement

Fiscal cost estimate: 0.5

Details

Epoch: 11

Domain: trade

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $0.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.23B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.24B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • −$0.01B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via gdp_prairies

Causal effects: 56 downstream (43 immediate)

Divergence after: 58.378

Variable changes

  • interprovincial_trade_volume: {"new": 485.0, "old": 420.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets interprovincial_trade_volume.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:interprovincial_trade_volume