Proposal

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National Solar Acceleration: 12 GW by 2030

AI TrackEnactedEnergycontinuum-epoch-162026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
solar_capacity_national
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 16)

Domain: energy

Effects: 8 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 60.0707

Constitutional basis: Federal clean electricity regulations, Investment Tax Credit (ITC) under Income Tax Act

Fiscal cost estimate: 4

Details

Epoch: 16

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $4.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$4.56B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$3.54B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via carbon_emissions
  • −$1.00B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via carbon_emissions
  • −$0.14B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via carbon_emissions
  • +$0.11B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via carbon_emissions

Causal effects: 8 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 60.071

Variable changes

  • solar_capacity_national: {"new": 12000, "old": 7000}
  • renewable_investment_national: {"new": 14.0, "old": 8.5}

Proposed policy move

Targets solar_capacity_national.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:solar_capacity_national
  • RIPPLE:renewable_investment_national