Proposal

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Ontario Clean Grid: Nuclear + Renewables

AI TrackEnactedEnergycontinuum-epoch-162026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
ontario_renewable_capacity
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 16)

Domain: energy

Effects: 2 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 60.0728

Constitutional basis: Provincial energy jurisdiction (s.92A), Ontario Energy Board Act

Fiscal cost estimate: 5

Details

Epoch: 16

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $5.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$6.09B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$3.52B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via inflation_rate
  • −$2.48B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via provincial_emissions_ontario
  • −$0.21B → hospital_spending (Hospital Services Spending) via healthcare_spending
  • +$0.08B → preventable_chronic_disease_cost (Annual Cost of Preventable Chronic Disease) via healthcare_spending

Causal effects: 2 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 60.073

Variable changes

  • ontario_renewable_capacity: {"new": 12000, "old": 8500}
  • provincial_emissions_ontario: {"new": 130.0, "old": 150.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets ontario_renewable_capacity.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:ontario_renewable_capacity
  • RIPPLE:provincial_emissions_ontario