Proposal

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Quebec Wind-Hydro Integration: 6 GW

AI TrackEnactedEnergycontinuum-epoch-162026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
quebec_wind_capacity
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 16)

Domain: energy

Effects: 7 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 5

Divergence score: 60.0862

Constitutional basis: Provincial energy jurisdiction (s.92A), Hydro-Quebec mandate

Fiscal cost estimate: 2.5

Details

Epoch: 16

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $2.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$1.50B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$1.17B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via carbon_emissions
  • −$0.33B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via carbon_emissions
  • −$0.05B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via carbon_emissions
  • +$0.04B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via carbon_emissions

Causal effects: 7 downstream (5 immediate)

Divergence after: 60.086

Variable changes

  • quebec_wind_capacity: {"new": 6500, "old": 4500}
  • quebec_hydro_export_revenue: {"new": 4.5, "old": 3.93}

Proposed policy move

Targets quebec_wind_capacity.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:quebec_wind_capacity
  • RIPPLE:quebec_hydro_export_revenue