Proposal

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Renewable Energy Share Push: 25% of Total

AI TrackEnactedEnergycontinuum-epoch-162026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
renewable_energy_share
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 16)

Domain: energy

Effects: 8 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 2

Divergence score: 60.111

Constitutional basis: Outcome of cumulative energy policy — not a direct spending measure

Details

Epoch: 16

Domain: energy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $15.32B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$14.24B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$10.27B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via gdp_alberta
  • +$2.79B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via unemployment_rate
  • −$1.08B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via carbon_emissions
  • +$0.99B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via renewable_energy_share

Causal effects: 8 downstream (2 immediate)

Divergence after: 60.111

Variable changes

  • renewable_energy_share: {"new": 25.0, "old": 18.0}
  • renewable_electricity_pct: {"new": 78.0, "old": 67.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets renewable_energy_share.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:renewable_energy_share
  • RIPPLE:renewable_electricity_pct