Proposal

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Carbon Tax Revenue: $170/tonne Escalation

AI TrackEnactedEnvironmentcontinuum-epoch-212026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
carbon_tax_revenue
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 21)

Domain: environment

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 60.3788

Constitutional basis: GGPPA upheld by SCC (2021), federal carbon pricing backstop

Fiscal cost estimate: -4.5

Details

Epoch: 21

Domain: environment

Fiscal cost estimate: -$16.37B CAD net (RIPPLE-derived; LLM omitted)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$12.23B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via carbon_emissions
  • −$3.45B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via carbon_emissions
  • −$0.93B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via federal_revenue
  • −$0.47B → defense_spending (Defence Spending (DND)) via carbon_emissions

Causal effects: 1 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 60.379

Variable changes

  • carbon_tax_revenue: {"new": 13.0, "old": 8.5}

Proposed policy move

Targets carbon_tax_revenue.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:carbon_tax_revenue