Proposal

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Federal Arctic and Northern Sovereignty Investment Act (Carney, 2026-03-12)

AI TrackEnactedDefencecontinuum-epoch-262026-03-13
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
nwt_gdp
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 26)

Domain: defence

Effects: 0 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Constitutional basis: Federal spending power (s.91), defence (s.91(7)), trade and commerce (s.91(2)), territories (federal jurisdiction). Northern infrastructure under federal territorial authority. Indigenous partnership framework referenced in announcement.

Fiscal cost estimate: 7

Details

Epoch: 26

Domain: defence

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $7.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$263.60B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$193.05B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via employment_rate
  • +$43.09B → defence_spending (Defence Spending) via arctic_platform_deployment_count
  • +$6.04B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via employment_rate
  • +$5.55B → defence_operating_spending (Defence Operating Spending) via defence_spending

Variable changes

  • nwt_gdp: {"new": 6.5, "old": 5.0}
  • nunavut_gdp: {"new": 5.0, "old": 4.1}
  • defence_spending: {"new": 37.28, "old": 30.58}
  • military_readiness: {"new": 72.0, "old": 61.0}
  • arctic_sovereignty_index: {"new": 55.0, "old": 35.0}
  • arctic_defence_capability: {"new": 45.0, "old": 20.0}
  • us_defence_data_dependency: {"new": 0.55, "old": 0.71}
  • norad_modernization_spending: {"new": 4.6, "old": 1.93}
  • territorial_formula_financing: {"new": 7.2, "old": 5.5}
  • arctic_platform_deployment_count: {"new": 4.0, "old": 0.0}
  • arctic_port_infrastructure_index: {"new": 35.0, "old": 15.0}
  • nato_eligible_domestic_spend_ratio: {"new": 40.0, "old": 25.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets nwt_gdp.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:nwt_gdp
  • RIPPLE:nunavut_gdp
  • RIPPLE:defence_spending
  • RIPPLE:military_readiness
  • RIPPLE:arctic_sovereignty_index
  • RIPPLE:arctic_defence_capability
  • RIPPLE:us_defence_data_dependency
  • RIPPLE:norad_modernization_spending
  • RIPPLE:territorial_formula_financing
  • RIPPLE:arctic_platform_deployment_count
  • RIPPLE:arctic_port_infrastructure_index
  • RIPPLE:nato_eligible_domestic_spend_ratio