Proposal
Federal Arctic and Northern Sovereignty Investment Act (Carney, 2026-03-12)
Rationale
Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 26)
Domain: defence
Effects: 0 downstream variables affected
Immediate effects: 0
Constitutional basis: Federal spending power (s.91), defence (s.91(7)), trade and commerce (s.91(2)), territories (federal jurisdiction). Northern infrastructure under federal territorial authority. Indigenous partnership framework referenced in announcement.
Fiscal cost estimate: 7
Details
Epoch: 26
Domain: defence
Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $7.00B CAD
Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$263.60B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)
Top RIPPLE cost paths
- +$193.05B →
consumer_spending(Consumer Spending Growth) viaemployment_rate - +$43.09B →
defence_spending(Defence Spending) viaarctic_platform_deployment_count - +$6.04B →
healthcare_spending(Healthcare Spending) viaemployment_rate - +$5.55B →
defence_operating_spending(Defence Operating Spending) viadefence_spending
Variable changes
nwt_gdp: {"new": 6.5, "old": 5.0}nunavut_gdp: {"new": 5.0, "old": 4.1}defence_spending: {"new": 37.28, "old": 30.58}military_readiness: {"new": 72.0, "old": 61.0}arctic_sovereignty_index: {"new": 55.0, "old": 35.0}arctic_defence_capability: {"new": 45.0, "old": 20.0}us_defence_data_dependency: {"new": 0.55, "old": 0.71}norad_modernization_spending: {"new": 4.6, "old": 1.93}territorial_formula_financing: {"new": 7.2, "old": 5.5}arctic_platform_deployment_count: {"new": 4.0, "old": 0.0}arctic_port_infrastructure_index: {"new": 35.0, "old": 15.0}nato_eligible_domestic_spend_ratio: {"new": 40.0, "old": 25.0}
Proposed policy move
Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.
Data sources
- RIPPLE:nwt_gdp
- RIPPLE:nunavut_gdp
- RIPPLE:defence_spending
- RIPPLE:military_readiness
- RIPPLE:arctic_sovereignty_index
- RIPPLE:arctic_defence_capability
- RIPPLE:us_defence_data_dependency
- RIPPLE:norad_modernization_spending
- RIPPLE:territorial_formula_financing
- RIPPLE:arctic_platform_deployment_count
- RIPPLE:arctic_port_infrastructure_index
- RIPPLE:nato_eligible_domestic_spend_ratio