Proposal

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Manitoba Economic Diversification

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-272026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
manitoba_gdp
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 27)

Domain: regional_development

Effects: 4 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 4

Divergence score: 61.1914

Constitutional basis: Provincial economic development (s.92), Western Diversification

Fiscal cost estimate: 1.5

Details

Epoch: 27

Domain: regional_development

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $1.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$0.40B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$0.45B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth
  • −$0.05B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via gdp_prairies

Causal effects: 4 downstream (4 immediate)

Divergence after: 61.191

Variable changes

  • manitoba_gdp: {"new": 105.0, "old": 95.26}

Proposed policy move

Targets manitoba_gdp.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:manitoba_gdp