Proposal

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EI Modernization: Benefit Reform

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-272026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
ei_benefits
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 27)

Domain: social_policy

Effects: 60 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 50

Divergence score: 61.293

Constitutional basis: Federal EI Act, s.91(2A) Unemployment Insurance

Fiscal cost estimate: 5.5

Details

Epoch: 27

Domain: social_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $5.50B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$10.17B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$6.76B → transfers_to_persons (Major Transfers to Persons) via ei_benefits
  • +$2.79B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via transfers_to_persons
  • +$1.84B → budgetary_balance (Budgetary Balance (Deficit/Surplus)) via transfers_to_persons
  • −$1.23B → canada_health_transfer (Canada Health Transfer (CHT)) via gdp_growth

Causal effects: 60 downstream (50 immediate)

Divergence after: 61.293

Variable changes

  • ei_benefits: {"new": 30.0, "old": 24.51}

Proposed policy move

Targets ei_benefits.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:ei_benefits