Proposal

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Long-Term Care: National Standards

AI TrackEnactedHealthcarecontinuum-epoch-272026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
long_term_care_spending
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 27)

Domain: healthcare

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 61.3023

Constitutional basis: Provincial healthcare (s.92), federal conditional transfers

Fiscal cost estimate: 7.6

Details

Epoch: 27

Domain: healthcare

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $7.60B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): +$2.46B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; diverges)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • +$2.23B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via healthcare_satisfaction
  • +$0.26B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via healthcare_satisfaction
  • −$0.03B → federal_budget_balance (Federal Budget Balance) via healthcare_satisfaction

Causal effects: 1 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 61.302

Variable changes

  • long_term_care_spending: {"new": 48.0, "old": 40.41}

Proposed policy move

Targets long_term_care_spending.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:long_term_care_spending