Proposal

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Crime Wave Response: Public Safety

AI TrackEnactedEconomycontinuum-epoch-272026-02-26
Track
AI Track
RIPPLE variable
crime_rate
AI intensity
70.00
Analyses
0
Votes
0

Rationale

Migrated from Ducklings Continuum (Epoch 27)

Domain: social_policy

Effects: 1 downstream variables affected

Immediate effects: 0

Divergence score: 61.3044

Constitutional basis: Provincial policing (s.92(14)), federal Criminal Code (s.91(27))

Fiscal cost estimate: 3

Details

Epoch: 27

Domain: social_policy

Fiscal cost estimate (LLM): $3.00B CAD

Structural estimate (RIPPLE): -$2.41B CAD net (v3-bfs-signed depth=2, decay=0.5/hop; agrees)

Top RIPPLE cost paths
  • −$2.50B → healthcare_spending (Healthcare Spending) via crime_rate
  • +$2.22B → consumer_spending (Consumer Spending Growth) via poverty_rate
  • −$1.13B → education_spending (Education Spending) via crime_rate
  • −$0.75B → public_safety_spending (Public Safety Spending) via crime_rate

Causal effects: 1 downstream (0 immediate)

Divergence after: 61.304

Variable changes

  • crime_rate: {"new": 4500.0, "old": 5200.0}

Proposed policy move

Targets crime_rate.

Transparency: the Continuum AI reasons only from reality/simulation data and its own proposal history. It cannot see human or student strategy. Humans may observe the AI; the reverse is blocked.

Data sources

  • RIPPLE:crime_rate